International from Beijing, AMC perfect score, IMO alternate , chance me at T10?

Demographics: - Chinese international - Beijing, top-tier international school (RDFZ-affiliated) - Full pay - No hooks Intended Major: Applied Mathematics / Computer Science Academics: - GPA: 4.0 UW (IB system, predicted 44/45) - SAT: 1570 - Coursework: IB HL Math, Physics, CS; SL Economics, English, Mandarin - TOEFL: 119 Extracurriculars: - AMC 12 perfect score, AIME 11 - IMO China team alternate (trained at national camp) - Math competition coaching for junior students, 2 years - Founded coding club at school, ~25 members, organized regional programming competition - Research project on optimization algorithms with local university professor, paper under review - Debate team captain, won regional tournament Awards: - China National Math Olympiad, bronze medal - AMC 12 perfect score - IMO alternate (national team selection) - School academic excellence award Schools: Reach: - MIT - Stanford - Caltech - CMU SCS - Princeton Reach: - Yale - Columbia - Penn - Cornell Target: - Berkeley CS - UT Austin CS (honors) Safety: - University of Waterloo - Oxbridge (backup plan, parallel apps) ngl international acceptance rate is brutal and my list is reach-heavy. math and CS credentials feel solid but worried about how much that matters when 40k+ internationals apply. be honest about my chances.